The Monthly Economic Activity Index (Imacec) is an estimate that summarizes the activity of the different branches of the economy in a given month, at prices from the previous year; its inter-annual variation constitutes an approximation of GDP evolution. The calculation of the Monthly Economic Activity Index is based on multiple supply indicators, which are weighted by the share of economic activities in the previous year’s GDP.

The Monthly Economic Activity Index is published on the first business day of each month taking into account a lag of 31 days in relation to the month being measured. In addition to this, a breakdown is published which distinguishes mining from all other activities —mining and non-mining series—, as well as the series at factor cost. All series are presented in both original and seasonally adjusted figures.

Consistent with the established publication policy, the Monthly Economic Activity Index series are revised along with the quarterly and annual national accounts.

December 2025’s monthly index of economic activity, Imacec

According to preliminary information, las December the Imacec grew 1.7% compared to the same month the year before (Table 1). The seasonally adjusted series rose 0.6% compared to the previous month and 1.3% in twelve months. The month came with the same number of working days as December 2024.

The Imacec result was explained by growth in services and other goods, which was partly offset by lower mining production (Figure 1). Meanwhile, the increase in the deseasonalized Imacec was driven by other goods and trade (Figure 2).

The non-mining Imacec grew by 3.0% annually, while in deseasonalized terms it grew by 0.8% from the previous month and 2.5% over twelve months.

 

 

Imacec analysis by activity

1. Goods production

Goods production fell 0.9% annually, a result influenced by lower mining output, particularly copper. This was partly offset by other goods and manufacturing, with respective increases of 2.3% and 2.0%. In other goods, the performance of agriculture and forestry stood out, while food processing drove the results of manufacturing.

In seasonally adjusted terms, goods production increased by 0.8% compared to the previous month, mainly explained by the other goods category.

2. Trade

Commercial activity increased by 6.6% annually. Every component showed positive results, with wholesale trade growth driven by sales of foods and machinery & equipment. The result for the automotive trade was explained by higher vehicle sales, while in the retail sector, sales in specialized clothing stores, grocery stores, and online sales platforms stood out.

The deseasonalized figures showed growth of 2.3% with respect to the previous month, driven by wholesale and automotive trade.

3. Services

Services grew 2.2% in annual terms, mainly explained by the performance of personal services, particularly health care. To a lesser extent, business services also contributed to the grouping's growth.

Seasonally adjusted figures posted growth of 0.2% over the previous month, thanks to the performance of transportation services.

In accordance with the National Accounts figures release schedule, the GDP estimate for 2025, along with revisions to the first, second, and third quarters, will be released on Wednesday, 18 March.

 

 

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