Working Papers N° 922: A semi-structural model with banking sector for stress testing scenario design

Publications


Working Papers N° 922: A semi-structural model with banking sector for stress testing scenario design

Autor: Juan Sebastian Becerra , José Carreño , Juan Francisco Martínez


Description

In this paper, we estimate a semi-structural New-Keynesian model for the Chilean economy. Our contribution consists of including a financial block, with an explicit description of the lending interest rate, credit volume, credit risk, and interest rate spreads. Firstly, we find the presence of a financial accelerator, that amplifies shocks. We find a significant relevance of financial sector feedback to the real economy. The incorporation of financial elements in a simple and flexible way allows the developed macro-financial model to be useful for various purposes. In this work, we carry out exercises in which extreme scenarios are simulated and are suitable for stress testing purposes.

 
Share: