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Working Papers N° 668: On the International Transmission of Shocks: Micro – Evidence From Mutual Fund Portfolios

Autor: Claudio Raddatz


Description

Using micro-level data on mutual funds from diffe rent financial centers investing in equity and bonds, this paper analyzes how investors and ma nagers behave and tr ansmit shocks across countries. The paper shows that the volatility of mutu al fund investments is quantitatively driven by investors through injections of capital into, or redemptions out of, each fund, and by managers changing the country weights and cash in their por tfolios. Both investors and managers respond to returns and crises, and substantially adjust their investments accordingly. These mechanisms generated large capital reallocations during the global financial crisis. Their behavior tends to be pro-cyclical, reducing their exposure to countries experiencing crises and increasing it when conditions improve. Managers ac tively change country weight s over time, although there is significant short-run “pass-through,” meaning that price changes affect country weights. Consequently, capital flows from mutual funds do not seem to stabilize markets and instead expose countries to foreign shocks.

 
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