Working Papers N° 955: Modeling S&P500 returns with GARCH models
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Working Papers N° 955: Modeling S&P500 returns with GARCH models
Autor: Rodrigo Alfaro , Alejandra Inzunza
Description
This paper provides several estimates of the parameters of GARCH models for the S&P500 index, based on returns and CBOE VIX. Using a daily sample from 2007 to 2022, we conclude that adding the information of VIX improves the estimates of the long-term volatility. We provide an external validation of the model using an option-based index reported by the Federal Reserve of Minneapolis, allowing us to propose a calibrate model for tracking the tail-risk of this stock index.
Working Papers N° 955: Modeling S&P500 returns with GARCH models
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