Conferences

11th Annual Conference of the Central Bank of Chile

Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty and Learning

Santiago, Chile, Thursday 15, and Friday 16, November 2007

Thursday, November 15, 2007

Time Expositor Subject
    Session I Opening Remarks (Session in Spanish, with translation)
9:00-9:15 Vittorio Corbo (Governor, Central Bank of Chile) Opening Remarks
    Session II_ Keynote Address
Chair: Vittorio Corbo (Governor, Central Bank of Chile)
9:15-10:15 Thomas Sargent (New York University) Evolution and Intelligent Design
10:15-10:45 Coffee  
    Session III Monetary Policy under Model Uncertainty
Chair: Manuel Marfán (Member of the Board, Central Bank of Chile)
10:45-11:45 Lars E.O. Svensson (Princeton University) and Noah Williams (Princeton University)
Comments: John McDermott (Reserve Bank of New Zealand)
Optimal Monetary Policy under Model Uncertainty in DSGE Models: A Markov Jump-Linear-Quadratic Approach
11:45-12:45 Athanasios Orphanides (Federal Reserve Board) and John Williams (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco)
Comments: Sheryl Kennedy (Bank of Canada)
Imperfect Knowledge and the Pitfalls of Optimal Control Policy
12:50-14:00 Lunch  
    Session IV Learning, Stability, and Equilibrium in Monetary Policy Models
Chair: Enrique Marshall (Member of the Board, Central Bank of Chile)
14:00-15:00 George Evans (University of Oregon) and Seppo Honkapohja (Cambridge University)
Comments: Claes Berg (Sveriges Riksbank)
Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules
15.00-16.00 Roger Guesnerie (College de France)
Comments: Juan Pablo Nicolini (Torcuato di Tella University)
Macroeconomic and Monetary policies from the ‘Eductive’ Viewpoint
16:00-16:20 Coffee  
    Session V Monetary Policy Transparency, Credibility, and Learning
Chair: Jorge Desormeaux (Member of the Board, Central Bank of Chile)
16:20-17:20 Martin Melecky (De Nederlandsche Bank), Diego Rodríguez Palenzuela (European Central Bank), and Ulf Söderström (Bocconi University)
Comments: Alex Bowen (Bank of England)
Monetary Policy Credibility and the Macroeconomy
17:20-18:20 Volker Wieland (J.W.Goethe University of Frankfurt)
Comments: Vicente Tuesta (Banco Central de Reserva del Perú)
Learning, Endogenous Indexation and Disinflation in the New Keynesian Model

 

Friday, November 16, 2007

Time Speaker Subject
    Session VI Determinacy and Learning in Monetary Policy
Chair: Leonardo Hernández (Central Bank of Chile)
9.00-10.00 Bennett T. McCallum (Carnegie Mellon University)
Comments: Christopher Kent (Reserve Bank of Australia)
Determinacy and Learnability in Monetary Policy Analysis: Additional Results
10:00-10:20 Coffee  
    Session VII Sticky Information and Model Misspecification.
Chair: José De Gregorio (Vice Governor, Central Bank of Chile)
10:20-11:20 Ricardo Reis (Princeton University)
Comments: Claudio Soto (Central Bank of Chile)
A few model-based Answers to Monetary Policy Questions in the United States and the Euro Area
11:20-12:20 Marco del Negro (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta) and Frank Schorfheide (University of Pennsylvania)
Comments: Romulo Chumacero (Central Bank of Chile)
Inflation Dynamics in a Small Open Economy Model under Inflation Targeting
     
    Session VII Key Note Address.
Chair: Vittorio Corbo (Governor, Central Bank of Chile)
12:20-13:20 Stanley Fischer (Governor, Bank of Israel) Monetary Policy in Israel
     
13:25-14:45 Lunch  
    Session IX Unobservables in the World.
Chair: Igal Magendzo (Central Bank of Chile)
14:45-15:45 Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Central Bank of Chile) and Carl Walsh (University of California at Santa Cruz)
Comments: Nicoletta Batini (International Monetary Fund)
Monetary Policy and Key Unobservables in the G-3 and Selected Inflation-Targeting Countries
15:45-16:00 Coffee  
    Session X Implications of Model and Data Uncertainty for Monetary Policy and Macro Adjustment in Chile.
Chair: Pablo García (Central Bank of Chile)
16:00-17:00 Felipe Morandé (Universidad de Chile) and Mauricio Tejada (Universidad de Chile)
Comments: Rodrigo Valdes (Central Bank of Chile)
Sources of Uncertainty in Chilean Monetary Policy
17:00-18:00 Manuel Marfán (Central Bank of Chile), Juan Pablo Medina (Central Bank of Chile), Jorge Selaive (Central Bank of Chile), and Claudio Soto (Central Bank of Chile)
Comments: Rodrigo Cerda (Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile)
Overoptimism, Boom-Bust Cycles and Monetary
Policy in Small Open Economies